The Executive Summary is also available in Burmese.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Following the outbreak of deadly intercommunal clashes in Rakhine
State in 2012, anti-Muslim violence has spread to other parts of
Myanmar. The depth of anti-Muslim sentiment in the country, and the
inadequate response of the security forces, mean that further clashes
are likely. Unless there is an effective government response and change
in societal attitudes, violence could spread, impacting on Myanmar’s
transition as well as its standing in the region and beyond.
The violence has occurred in the context of rising Burman-Buddhist
nationalism, and the growing influence of the monk-led “969” movement
that preaches intolerance and urges a boycott of Muslim businesses. This
is a dangerous combination: considerable pent-up frustration and anger
under years of authoritarianism are now being directed towards Muslims
by a populist political force that cloaks itself in religious
respectability and moral authority.
Anti-Indian and anti-Muslim violence is nothing new in Myanmar. It is
rooted in the country’s colonial history and demographics, and the rise
of Burman nationalism in that context. Deadly violence has erupted
regularly in different parts of the country in the decades since. But
the lifting of authoritarian controls and the greater availability of
modern communications mean that there is a much greater risk of the
violence spreading.
Among the most discriminated against populations in Myanmar is the
Muslim community in northern Rakhine State, the Rohingya. Most are
denied citizenship, and face severe restrictions on freedom of movement
as well as numerous abusive policies. In June and October 2012, clashes
between Buddhists and Muslims in Rakhine State left almost 200 people
dead and around 140,000 displaced, the great majority of them Muslims.
Communities remain essentially segregated to this day, and the
humanitarian situation is dire.
In early 2013, the violence spread to central Myanmar. The worst
incident occurred in the town of Meiktila, where a dispute at a shop led
to anti-Muslim violence. The brutal killing of a Buddhist monk sharply
escalated the situation, with two days of riots by a 1,000-strong mob
resulting in widespread destruction of Muslim neighbourhoods, and
leaving at least 44 people dead, including twenty students and several
teachers massacred at an Islamic school.
There has been strong domestic and international criticism of the
police response. In Rakhine State, the police – who are overwhelmingly
made up of Rakhine Buddhists – reportedly had little ability to stop the
attacks, and there are allegations of some being complicit in the
violence. The army, once it was deployed, performed better. In Meiktila,
the police were apparently incapable of controlling the angry crowds
that gathered outside the shop, and were hopelessly outnumbered and
ineffective when the clashes rapidly escalated.
The violence has regional implications. There has been a sharp
increase in the number of Muslims making the treacherous journey by boat
from Rakhine State to other countries in the region, prompting public
criticism from some of those countries. The intercommunal tensions have
also spilled over Myanmar’s borders, with the murders of Myanmar
Buddhists in Malaysia, and related violence in other countries. There
have also been threats of jihad against Myanmar, and plots and attacks
against Myanmar or Buddhist targets in the region. As Myanmar prepares
to take over the rotating chairmanship of the Association of Southeast
Asian Nations (ASEAN) in 2014, this could become a serious political
issue.
The Myanmar government understands what is at stake. President Thein
Sein has spoken publicly on the dangers of the violence, and announced a
“zero-tolerance” approach. The police response has been improving
somewhat, with faster and more effective interventions bringing
incidents under control more quickly. And after some delay, perpetrators
of these crimes are being prosecuted and imprisoned, although there are
concerns that Buddhists sometimes appear to be treated more leniently.
But much more needs to be done. Beyond improved riot-control training
and equipment for police, broader reform of the police service is
necessary so that it can be more effective and trusted, particularly at
the community level, including officers from ethnic and religious
minorities. This is only just starting. The government and society at
large must also do more to combat extremist rhetoric, in public, in the
media and online. At a moment of historic reform and opening, Myanmar
cannot afford to become hostage to intolerance and bigotry.
Yangon/Jakarta/Brussels, 1 October 2013
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